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(guess which I'm thinking is the right answer) |
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Does anyone know if Michael Moore ever threatened to kill W? |
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in case you missed it
Something Awful has some fine commentary on last night's debate:
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more globL TESTS
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Every night when Rather and Brokaw and Lehrer take a seat. |
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But when you decided that it was okay for him to question was "is" is, the new standard was set. |
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However, the circumstances you are comparing are hardly comparable. |
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New Zogby
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Iowa
Less, where is Zogby getting his numbers? Because I read this earlier today:
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eta: That's a line I can see NRO getting behind: 'So Cheney lied to the American people; it's not like he swore an oath to tell the truth.' |
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(2) According to an article I linked here a few days ago by Guy Molyneux in TAP, the important number to watch is not the spread between Bush and Kerry, but whether Bush is polling at 50% or higher. As a rule, incumbent presidents tend to poll just below or at the last polls, while the challengers pick up an average of 4% from the last poll. So I see the Iowa numbers that you posted here, and am heartened, because Bush is well below 50%. YMMV. |
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Here is his further breakdown of the post-debate numbers - http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=874 Here is his methodology - http://www.zogby.com/methodology/index.cfm He was the only one to get 2000 right - http://www.ncpp.org/1936-2000.htm Here's an article about him, including discussion about how he was the only one to get the 1996 election right - http://www.chriscmooney.com/PDF/Zogby.pdf That said, here is his own article about his fuck-up of the 2002 midterm elections - http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=648 and here's an interesting study comparing 20 polls in the CA 2003 recall election and why they all basically suck - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1004883/posts |
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I haven't trolled for other pollsters who agree or disagree with this, but the numerical support in the article seems fairly convincing. OTOH, four (elections with incumbent presidents) is not a huge sample size. (The article is a week old, so the reference to the most recent poll is not right any more.) |
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"I have climbed the mighty mountain, and I have seen the valley below, and it is the valley of peace." They know Shrub's their man, or close enough to get them to turn out for them. [They don't seem to notice that its 98% lip service with no real concerted action (but don't worry Bilmore, I'm not suggesting Bush is calcualting or anything.)] S_A_M |
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S_A_M |
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Remember when you understood the difference? |
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In the same vein, I think you're full of shit on this point, but I don't really expect you to change your tune or stop talking bullshit. I guess this is your crusade and apparently truth and logic are its casualties. |
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It's a perennial problem in litigation: after all the contortions you make to make your client's statement technically true, you've coincidentally made it irrelevant to your client's case. |
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"With the Bremer debacle still seeping out into the national consciousness, there is a reassuring sense of clockwork and regularity in watching the designated GOP foot soldiers responding to the orders from Winger Central to zig or zig on command. So for instance yesterday we first heard that Bremer had been misconstrued and that he was only talking about the delayed arrival of the 4th Infantry Division. Now the folks at the Wall Street Journal editorial page are pulling the standard dump on Bremer, claiming that he, in addition to getting this or that wrong during his tenure in Iraq, now can't keep his story straight about whether he was asking for more troops on the ground in the country or not. Trouble is, we haven't found a single other senior official involved in the war or its aftermath--in or out of uniform--who attests to Mr. Bremer's version of events. "I never heard him ask for more troops and he had many opportunities before the President to do so," one senior Administration official tells us. Or to be more precise, Mr. Bremer did finally ask for two more divisions in a June 2004 memo--that is, two weeks prior to his departure and more than a year after he arrived. Poor Bremer, really getting the treatment ... But when the Journal editors were zigging, the Bush campaign had already started to zag. And the party line became predictably tangled. Yesterday afternoon the Bush campaign told the Post that Bremer had requested more troops, but that the president preferred to take the counsel of his military commanders. So it's either Bremer never said anything and now he's just making excuses (the Journal line.) Or, yes he said something, but we chose to ignore him (the Bush-Cheney 04 line.) Is BC04 lying too? In a cynical ploy to shift blame onto the president? So with the regime-change dead-enders' media strategy you have dishonest arguments, poor coordination, lack of a game plan. Remind you of anything? " |
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The left also has a different attitude towards minorities who make it. |
Cheney's Factcheck.com gaffe
About the gaffe (Cheney directing viewers of the debate to factcheck.com instead of factcheck.org and so right after the debate someone bought the site and it's now redirected to Soros's sight with the headline Whey You Shouldn't Vote For George Bush), it looks like Soros's camp didn't buy the site. Must have been someone else. I'd love to know who. Here's a blurb from the Soros site:
"FactCheck.com Correction We do not own the FactCheck.com domain name and are not responsible for it redirecting to GeorgeSoros.com. We are as surprised as anyone by this turn of events. We believe that Vice President Cheney intended to direct viewers of the Vice-Presidential Debate to FactCheck.org." |
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Let's look at your little litigation scenario: Cheney's statement had two parts. First, Edwards has missed __% of the votes. Then, as a sort of observation to illustrate how severe __% really is, he says "I've never met the guy." You guys claim you shown the statement "irrelevent" Because once Edwards sat near Cheney at a breakfast, and was on Meet the Press with him or something. But see here's the problem- the "client's statement" is "Edwards missed __% of the vote." That is what might be relevent to a voter. I don't think many voters will decide based upon whether Cheney met the guy or not, do you? So like, in closing, you'd say "Well we've proven Edwards walked behind Cheney at a prayer breakfast, so you should ignore the whole issue." Then we'd be like "ummm, did you notice how they didn't touch the __% part? they show this picture from breakfast, now if you knew Cheney you'd know he's concentrating on the bacon at breakfast, but you know what? Let me concede that maybe they met.....When you make your decision just remember what we all agree on. he missed ___% of the votes." Wouldn't it go like that, kind of? :confused: :hide: And Sebby, we're the party that lacks substance? |
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If this were in trial, a smart lawyer would play the clip from Cheney's "deposition" (not to be confused with a "deposition" in FB Land) while cross-examining him. The actual tone and language of the questions to Cheney might vary depending upon whether the smart lawyer was a folksy Matlock type or a cutting Joyce Davenport type, but he and his credibility would be toast when it was over. After setting him up with a bunch of questions about how careful and prudent he must be in his job just a heartbeat away from the Big Red Button, he'd either look like a liar or an idiot for saying what he did. Even to a Podunkville jury. Thankfully for you, that isn't how it works, and he can get friendly types to carry his water for him. But, bottom line, he acted without thinking everything through, tossed out a bit of hyperboele that he thought would make his point for him, and now we're talking about his goof instead of Edwards's attendance record. Not a huge deal, but it's a lost gain for BC-04. |
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and the only people talking about the "goof" are people who have their minds made up anyway. Hell the only undecided posting here is maybe sebastian, and he even says he's not. The point sticks Bobby. |
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TM |
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