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Old 10-14-2004, 10:55 AM   #11
Greedy,Greedy,Greedy
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Government Yard in Trenchtown
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Kerry Won

Quote:
Originally posted by sebastian_dangerfield
Thats a win? It was a draw.
39-25 in the undecided is a huge win. Assume there is a 2 point or less spread in several key states (true) with 10 undecided (actually a low figure - undecided are higher in battlegrounds). if the undecideds split by that ratio, Kerry gets more than 2 points and wins those states.

Add to that the momentum factor, especially since it is now clear that Bush couldn't win a single debate (at best he's scored 2 draws and a loss, at worst 3 losses) and its a clear win unless Bush can find some clever spin and kill or reverse the momentum.

As I've said before, Bush has to start explaining why people should vote for him instead of why people should vote against Kerry -- votes against are more often cast against incumbents than challengers.
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