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[Gattigap]

Originally posted by Bad_Rich_Chic
I suspect Bush will edge it out, but not by much. I think most swing voters would love to vote against Bush, but, when it comes down to it, will consider switching horses in mid stream too risky, particularly given that Kerry has only recently become clear about where he stand on a lot of the foreign policy issues, and "clear" is an arguable description. Or: I think it will be a one issue race, and Bush will "win" that issue based largely on a "devil you know" rationalle. I would not be surprised to be cataclysmically wrong.

Personally, my only wish is that it be decisive in each state, but I depressingly fear it is not to be. And I really fear that, even if it is fairly decisive, that won't stop our fellow lawyers from trying to fuck it up. I want it over Nov 3, but predict it will be over about Dec. 15th. The Supreme Court will refuse to hear any cases.

2 to the hopes and to the probable outcome. Bush by a whisker. Depressingly large number of legal challenges, all cast aside by a Supreme Court that doesn't want to hear this shit again. Election is determined by a slate of electors chosen by the Republican dominated state legislatures of Ohio and Florida, which (in the eyes of many) will be even more controversial than 2000.