Quote:
Originally posted by baltassoc
Zogby's final numbers are calling it for Kerry, 311 to 213, with NV and CO too close to call, but irrelevant at 14 combined electors.
http://www.zogby.com/
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What does it mean for a state to be "trending"? Is the assumption that, like a baseball team, a candidate gets "hot" in the afternoon?
Is there any reason to believe that turnout rates over time is other than stochastic, and, if so, what do the figures show?
Given Ohio is +2 for Bush, but in teh Kerry column, it's not an entirely idle question.
