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Old 02-04-2005, 12:20 AM   #9
Tyrone Slothrop
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 33,080
Quote:
Originally posted by Hank Chinaski
why Duran said "no mas" doesn't matter as to Leonard's record.

You quoted Bush saying: "Our society has changed in ways the founders of Social Security could not have foreseen. In today's world, people are living longer and therefore drawing benefits longer - and those benefits are scheduled to rise dramatically over the next few decades"

and then quoted a study that had about the same % of people over 65 FORSEEN when ss started.

That number is meaningless unless the slope (the amount of change per year) in the number was also predicted. If 10 years ago the % predicted was higher than actual and now its equal we have a problem (the amount is increasing too fast- several reasons why this is true), and Bush's statement is fine.

If the prediction was accurate as to the change, the people who made the prediction were some amazing people.

Either way, in the end it is pathetic you are reduced to this as your "lie" du jour- given that a year ago you were trying to say Bush lied us into war.

Ever hear the story of the little boy who cried wolf?
First, I didn't say he lied. You did. I think he doesn't care, but that's different, I suppose.

Second, what the fuck difference does the "slope" make? Bush suggested that they could not have predicted that people would be living longer. In fact, they did predict this, and very accurately so.

Third, when you get all Delphic and shit, you can't fault anyone for failing to stay with you. I do appreciate your efforts to explain yourself above, though I still can't figure out why the rate of change matters if they pegged the percentage so dead on.
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