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Civil War
New Topic:
I don't see why people think the future of Iraq is so bleak. From what I have read the insurgents are now overwhelmingly Sunni. The Kurds never took part, and the Shiites, after the election saw they will be in control, so they stopped. So only the Sunnis are left being backed up by the Islamic brotherhood, Al Queda and all the other wacko Sunni organizations.
So once we leave either the Sunnis will eventually be defeated or
The country will split into three states. The Kurds up north, which will probably be Democratic, the Shiite South, which will be some sort of Islamic Republic (Sistani - the most influential leader of the Shiites has already sayd the mullahs should not run the country like they do in Iran) and a little Sunni state in the Middle. The Sunni state will have absolutely no oil, so it will just become an irrelvant state surrounding by democracies.
Where am I wrong?
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