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Old 08-21-2006, 07:02 PM   #4505
Sidd Finch
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 11,873
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Quote:
Originally posted by Penske_Account
Maybe what Israeli intelligence knew or didn't know has not been made public knowledge in real time. Most of what I read is speculation on what Israel knew or didn't. Certainly Ohlmert made strategic mistakes, but the taboo on putting ground troops back into Lebanon was fueled by more than just a belief that the air campaign would suffice.

Maybe. But every report, every article, every statement has said that Israel was surprised. And would Israel have moved ships into missile range if it had known about the cruise missiles? Without destroying the cruise missiles or launchers first? That seems unlikely.

Ditto for moving in tanks while knowing (as you seem to believe) what arms Hezbollah had and where they had them.

You are relying on your speculation, contrary to all evidence, that Israeli intelligence is virtually omiscient. Basing strategic plans on fantasy is a pretty risky endeavor. Though, sadly, not without recent precedent.
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