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Old 08-21-2006, 08:20 PM   #4534
Penske_Account
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Quote:
Originally posted by Sidd Finch
Yes. But I think that what they didn't know is sufficient to render any plan that relies on targetted bombing of Iran, based on Israeli intelligence about the location of Iran's weapons programs, pure folly.

Let's put it this way: If Israeli intelligence is good enough to tell us exactly where to bomb to neutralize Iran's weapons program (rendering ground forces unnecessary), then why wasn't Israel's intelligence good enough to tell Israel where to bomb to neutralize Hezbollah's long-range missile capabilities before the ground invasion?
The problem here is anything I post will be speculation (other than search right wing Israeli boards for partisan affirmation), but two things stand out that differentiate it:

1. Sharon felt burned on Lebanon and choose to focus on other areas, which, gives some explanation for the imperfect intelligence on that front; and

2. Iran is a much bigger threat because it is a life and death threat. Being the only nuclear power on the block gave Israel a much greater security foundation. Having a Shi'a bomb, where thenholders are crazy enough to deliver it, changes the equation. If Israel is prioritising its intelligence and security functions, I would think, and hope that this is at the top. Maybe I am wrong. Again, I don't know at this point that they have to know every site in Iran, if they take out 60-70% of the capacity, perhaps they set the progbram back enough for other forces to moderate Iran.
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