Quote:
Originally posted by Penske_Account
The problem here is anything I post will be speculation (other than search right wing Israeli boards for partisan affirmation), but two things stand out that differentiate it:
1. Sharon felt burned on Lebanon and choose to focus on other areas, which, gives some explanation for the imperfect intelligence on that front; and
2. Iran is a much bigger threat because it is a life and death threat. Being the only nuclear power on the block gave Israel a much greater security foundation. Having a Shi'a bomb, where thenholders are crazy enough to deliver it, changes the equation. If Israel is prioritising its intelligence and security functions, I would think, and hope that this is at the top. Maybe I am wrong. Again, I don't know at this point that they have to know every site in Iran, if they take out 60-70% of the capacity, perhaps they set the progbram back enough for other forces to moderate Iran.
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Counterbalancing that: Iran is a big country, with much more space to hide things than southern Lebanon. It is further away from Israel, and thus harder to keep a close watch on. It is a closed society. It has an effective, highly paranoid, and relatively sophisticated government, which knows that it needs to hide these facilities as well and as deeply as possible, and which has virtually unlimited financial resources available to do so.
