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I predict the Dems gain 4 seats in the Senate (Casey, Brown, Tester or Whitehouse, and Webb) and 23 seats in the House. I would not be surprised at all for the gain to be 6 seats in the Senate (Whitehouse or Tester, and McCaskill). I would not be surprised at all if the turnover in the House is higher, perhaps by another half, but I don't think it'll be a lot lower. I have no idea about the governors races, but I hear about a Dem pick-up of 5 to 9 seats, so I'll guess 6.
The Republicans will talk a lot about how it was a bad year for incumbents, and the media will be slow to point out that not a single Democratic incumbent lost.
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“It was fortunate that so few men acted according to moral principle, because it was so easy to get principles wrong, and a determined person acting on mistaken principles could really do some damage." - Larissa MacFarquhar
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