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Originally posted by Tyrone Slothrop
1) That's an excellent question. Seems like it looks less likely lately. The question seems not so much whether Turkey wants to join as whether the EU will let them. But if this drags on much longer it will fuel the anti-EU feelings in Turkey.
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I don't think Turkey will ever be allowed in. Although the EU was instituted for practical economic purposes, the people of Europe have some say what will happen, and those people don't want to be involved in any politica entity that has 50 million (is it more?) muslims. Albania will be OK because that is just a few muslims. But Turkey never.
An easy excuse to turn them down is that its capital and the majority of the country is not in Europe.
I believe that the new EU constitution was defeated in France because the people were sending a message they did not want Turkey.
It would be great if they allowed Turkey in because it would really solidify Turkey as a secular western leaning nation. But it won't happen. Greece won't let it happen anyway.
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Originally posted by Tyrone Slothrop 2) I'll go out on a limb and say "no."
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I believe they will eventually let the Ukraine in. It is an eastern Slavic state like Bulgaria, Poland and the rest. The people of Europe seem to be OK with caucasian christian nations, even if they are eastern and Slavic. Even with practical political economic institutions peoples ethnolinguistic bigotry comes through.
The European Union is limited to Europe (Morocco was told not on your life), not because of some practical reason, but because Europe is mainly Christian and White. At least that is what I think.
