Quote:
Originally posted by Spanky
The Israelis have a small window of four to five years before Iran develops a weaponized nuclear program. With these considerations in mind, Israel must prioritize the various threats against its national security. For Israel to seriously consider a military option against Iran down the road, it will have to first deal with the pending issue of neutralizing Iran's main proxy on Israel's northern border: Hezbollah. Part of the Israeli decision to engage Hezbollah in a full-scale conflict in 2006 likely involved the need to degrade the group's military capabilities and deprive Iran of one of its key assets in the region. Though that plan did not pan out, Israel is bound to revisit the issue in the coming year.
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Israel didn't engage in a full-scale conflict with Hezbollah. They engaged in an air campaign with some limited ground attacks. Nothing compared to what they could -- and probably should -- have done.
Perhaps we need a pool: By 2009, will Israel invade Lebanon? Will it bomb Iran (or vice versa)? Will the US have over 100,000 troops in Iraq?
