Quote:
Originally posted by Bad_Rich_Chic
Some probably are rump Ba'athists - the knowlegeable scouting of local governmental targets indicates their involvement. But there is increasing evidence that many of the attacks, and most of the coordination, is being done by foreign islamists.
And strategically this does not have the earmarks of an indigenous movement. A locally-grown guerilla movement, which would primarily aim to cause the Iraqi people in general to be outraged at the US (due to crackdowns on civilians as the US tries to root out the guerillas - there is a reason guerillas hide among civilians, witness the huge success of this strategy in the Israeli occupied territories) and thereby increase popular support, would not be targeting local Iraqi targets and would have some care for Iraqi civilian casualties. The Iraqis appear to hate these guys as much as we do: they kill schoolchildren and interfere with the rebuilding of infrastructure that is getting life back to normal.
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I think it is a mix of an emerging local guerilla movement, not yet coallesced, and folks either returning from abroad or sent from abroad to foment/ aid/ take over that movement.
I expect a lot of infighting among these elements before we have get the number of groups we're fighting down to one or two, and I expect there will be more indigenously bred terrorism as well. They'll kill each other, they'll kill us, they'll kill innocents not engaged. But I am betting it gets worse before it gets better.
