Quote:
Originally posted by Tyrone_Slothrop
As the GOP is increasingly dominated by Southerners, they lose support in other places -- e.g., the Northeast and California. The new GOP cannot win in California, barring freakish circumstances like the recent ones.
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Excluding Florida, which remains a swing state and if anything is increasingly Democratic, the Southern states are approximately twice the electoral votes of California (which, you are right, is now about as solidly Democratic as the south is solidly Republican, especially in a national election). But the Northeast is not so solidly Democratic, with CT, NH and ME all being potential red states, and with NY requiring more of a fight than it used to in a national.
So turning a few southern states still seems particularly important. It would be nice to figure out how to crack Texas, though I don't think that is possible until Bush is gone.