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Old 03-02-2020, 04:14 PM   #554
sebastian_dangerfield
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Re: Objectively intelligent.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski View Post
Read FB posts from anti-Trumpers saying "I'd never vote for ____, if the Dem nominee." If it is Bernie they may lose a ton of votes to 3rd party or just not voting. If it is not Bernie they may lose a ton of votes to 3rd party or just not voting.

Way too early to call Michigan or any close state.
The race on the D side is the same one we had on both sides last time around: Establishment v. Insurgent. The former will vote for the latter, but I don't know about the other way around. It's kind of anathema to the whole idea of insurgency, and that's what Bernie's movement is, to support the corporate moderate candidate. The Establishment types, OTOH, figure anything is better than Trump and that they can neutralize and control Bernie.

If Bernie goes into the convention with a significant delegate lead and Biden wins via use of super delegates, I'd guess Biden can count on losing 1/3-1/2 of would-be Bernie voters.
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