Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield
Why would you assume a 100% infection rate?
China is the most populated country on earth, I believe, and it only has a few hundred thousand people, if that, infected.
ETA: Here’s a quant modeling between 100 and 500 million cases worldwide: https://nevinsresearch.com/blog/stra...ions-covid-19/ That assumes an infection rate in the United States a far less than even 30%. |
You said "worst case" is a few thousand. As I look at it now, you're saying 2% of far less than 30%, so, what, 2% of 20%? Still well over 1 million. So by a "few" thousand you mean a couple thousand thousand?
Worst case here is the likes of which we haven't seen since 1918. Worse than Aids, and I don't know about you, but I watched a lot of people die from aids.
