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Old 03-04-2020, 05:35 PM   #592
LessinSF
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Pulling your finger
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Re: Objectively intelligent.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan View Post
If you figure that this thing has a similar transmission rate as the 'flu (which it probably doesn't because a lot of us are getting 'flu shots and/or have other exposure based immunity to 'flu), it'll hit about 35.5 million people (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html) in the US based off of last year's 'flu numbers.

I'm pretty sure it's in this area by now given the flyers up looking for epidemiologists to head over to Ft. Bend County for surveillance. It's probably in a lot of other areas that haven't yet been reported. We will have a better sense in the next few weeks. But yeah, a lot of elderly people are going to die here, and a lot more are going to get really, really sick.
And adjust your mortality guesses accordingly - https://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/artic...g-15104402.php
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