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Old 04-10-2020, 05:26 PM   #1153
Tyrone Slothrop
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 33,084
Re: Objectively intelligent.

Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield View Post
Yes, and what did her doc rely upon? Anecdata.

Of course we should want the best data sets. No one disagrees. But while we’re building that, if all one has is anecdata, you make the best decision you can.

I don’t know what the aggressive desire to make the perfect the enemy of the best-info-we’ve-got is here. Particularly when the experimental use is creating the data set needed for more comprehensive study.

By the way, if I get it and have difficulty with breath, I’ll now know to go to ER ASAP, and if I’m found to have Covid, I’ll ask for the drugs. I won’t wait and later need a ventilator. And if I fall into the 2% of people who suffer cardiac issues, I’ll have been amazingly unlucky. If I recover by aid of the drug, I’ll have been saved by making a shrewd cost/benefit assessment. If it doesn’t help me, I was probably dead no matter what I did.

Think like a trader, not a lawyer. Works better in this sort of situation.
I live with someone who works in an ICU caring for these patients. If you think that doctor saved that patient's life with malaria drugs because Donald Trump mentioned them on the TV, go write a Hallmark after school movie about it. There's a huge need for uplifting crap right now -- people will eat it up.

But your third to last sentence is dead wrong, and it's the same error that you keep making. If the drug doesn't help you, you'll probably survive, because most people who go into the hospital with Covid-19 survive.

Think like a nurse and trust the medical team taking care of you. It's not as much fun as pretending you are a trader and can call shots that might save you, but at some point you need to accept that there are things you can't control.
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