Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop
That's all I read. Why? Because the Santa Clara study has been shredded. But you don't need to understand the math involved. The death toll so far in New York City is 11,500 or so, from a population of 8,300,000. That's a death toll -- so far! -- of .139%. But people are still dying, lots, and no one thinks the entire population has been infected. A recent study suggests that 21% of the people in New York City has been infected, so multiply that death toll by 5 and you get a death rate of .693%, assuming no one else dies. But we also have reports that there are as many as 10x deaths in New York City as normal.
I have a full-time job that isn't this, though I do read the Twitter some (hi Hank), and even I know that this guy's fatality rate is way, way too low. Does he know? Is he misinformed, or trying to mislead? Did you think about this?
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“Of all fatal cases in New York state, two-thirds were in patients over 70 years of age; more than 95 percent were over 50 years of age; and about 90 percent of all fatal cases had an underlying illness. Of 6,570 confirmed COVID-19 deaths fully investigated for underlying conditions to date, 6,520, or 99.2 percent, had an underlying illness. If you do not already have an underlying chronic condition, your chances of dying are small, regardless of age. And young adults and children in normal health have almost no risk of any serious illness from COVID-19.”
Refute. (Not with the silly 10X bullshit. I’d prefer to have a sane conversation.)
