Quote:
Originally Posted by Icky Thump
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I'm not suggesting that article is not worth writing. But it's a collection of outlier events. If you dig into the semantics, you find that it's structured in a majority of the points made regarding data to alarm the reader and suggest severe or unique symptoms are more the norm than the small exception.
At no point does it, or most articles like it, flip the statistics and say, "Out of a study of 500 hospitalized, 480 resolved in clinically predictable manners."
It is totally true that one can draw the really bad card in the deck with this disease. But the odds are very, very much in favor of drawing one of the other 51.
If Covid were an investment, the tail risk of it savaging in excess of, say, 5-7% of young people with strokes and blood clots, would be minimal. And yet we're served daily a litany of stories discussing it as though the likelihood of 95% of young healthy people recovering from it without unique or severe complication is in the area of 5-7%.
(I've a friend with a clotting disorder who sailed right through this, BTW. If anyone should have been a victim of this severe presentation of Covid, were it indeed as common as suggested in these types of articles, it would be this person. She's quite fine, a month out from it, and never had significant symptoms.)
