Quote:
Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski
That's fine, send a functionary with the forms to fill out to report a robbery. In detroit I doubt the police would even show for that. but minneapolis yesterday said it was getting rid of police. In fact you echoed it earlier. How many electoral votes will trump be getting when he wins MN? We're trying to win an election over here to save the world.
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Are you afraid Trump is going to win MN on a law 'n order vote?
I don't think that's going to happen. I think this Floyd thing will fade from prominence in the next few weeks. Like Occupy, I don't see all of the heat behind these protests sustaining without a clearly defined set of policy objectives. There has to be a plan, as Killer Mike has said in tons of appearances.
There are reforms being implemented and a lot of lip service being paid by politicians to the notion of a need for reform. But I don't see police brutality as one of the most important voter issues in swing states this fall.
I see the media predicting a slowdown in the protests already. My news feed was all Floyd all day a week ago. As his funeral approached it slowed and a mix of stories about Covid-19 upticks started appearing. Now it's filled with criticisms of some WHO flip flop on Covid data and a surge in infections in Texas.
The story du jour is going to be "Covid is Back, Baby!!!" until the next unemployment report. If the unemployment report is excellent or great, it'll be all about the economy for a few weeks, then when that becomes boring, back to Covid. Or if Trump is back on the road doing rallies, it'll be all about that.
Intermittently, stories about protests and more police abuse will appear here and there.
The media has four dishes to serve to keep eyeballs - Covid, Trump's latest bizarre or offensive behavior, police brutality, and the economy (comeback or depression?). Their goal will be to swap these stories in and out continuously as people become temporarily bored with them.
I see law 'n order, police brutality, protests, and riots as the least served of these dishes. It doesn't matter to as broad an audience as the economy, Trump's craziness, or Covid. I see Trump losing if he focuses on it. His focus should be the economy and Covid. If the economy bounces and we see no second wave, he can win. In any other scenario, all of which are far more likely, he loses.
