Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop
Nate Silver said Clinton had a 71% chance of winning, but that means he thought Trump had a 29% chance of winning. If a .290 hitter comes to the plate and strokes a single, no one is surprised.
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Nate Silver bluffed a lot of people into not needing to vote or to go third party, cuz she was going to win anyway. Real Clear Politics collected the actual polls and that showed toss up. We had President Obama and Hillary in Michigan the day before the election. When Obama was running we didn't see a candidate after September cuz it was over.
But yes on %- the guy who taught me most of what I know as a lawyer taught me that:
Client: what do you think is my % chance of winning.
Hank's mentor: You have a good chance, I've explained the strength and weaknesses, but there are too many variables to guess a %. Besides, if you lose you lose 100%.
