Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop
I think we'll have Trump to kick around for a while, in that even if Biden wins, Trump is not to disappear from public life to write his memoirs, and he may decide he wants to run in 2024. But if he's not the GOP nominee in 2024, can the party capture his magic without him? A lot of his appeal to people is his perceived authenticity, his putative success as a businessman, his status as an outsider to politics, and his willingness to transgress norms. The people most commonly named as frontrunners for 2024 -- Nikki Haley, Tom Cotton, etc. -- are, for better or worse, not Trump.
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The main problem is that Trump won't give a speech like Gore did when he conceded (which I read today and almost got weepy), because it is not in his interest to do so. He cares nothing for the party or institutions, and whatever his plan is for the future (probably Trump TV) its success depends greatly on him making sure people are disaffected and will go with him to wherever that is so he can keep on grifting with his MAGA shot glasses and fake $1000 bills and 800% matches.
The chances that the nominee in 2024 will be an actual member of the Trump family (probably Jr.) are about 1000% that of a Never Trumper, or even mild critic. I was really disappointed to see Nicki Haley today effusively congratulate the new Q-Anon members of Congress. But she has made a cold calculation as to where the future lies.
