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Old 12-10-2003, 11:42 AM   #2676
Tyrone Slothrop
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 33,071
uh-oh

Quote:
Originally posted by sgtclub
Holy jump to conclusions. Isn't this a situation where there is simply severe spike in demand which no one could have predicted?
No. The demand varies from year to year. That can be predicted. Last year, the companies made something like 96 million doses, and were left with 13 million doses. This year, they only made 83 million, but the flu strain is worse. Children have been dying in Colorado, and it's early.

Quote:
Are you suggesting that the government subsidize so that the ratio is 1 dose/citizen?
Some government subsidy seems like a good idea, but with 300 million people in the country -- from a health perspective, it's a good idea not to restrict innoculation to citizens -- you could get well north of 83 million without getting everyone.

Quote:
And as a public policy matter, is it necessary for everybody to be innoculated in order to ensure there is not a widespread epidemic?
Certainly not. There was no epidemic last year. But a lot depends on things we don't know or control poorly.
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