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Originally posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy
Interesting poll results in the current NH polls.
Most of these polls are tracking polls, so they show three days of data combined. The last poll (Boston Herald) is not a tracking poll, and it shows just data from the last 24 hours. If you look at some of the raw polling data from the different polls, it bears out the the Herald Poll as a current snapshot (though Lieberman looks low in the Herald compared to the other polls' data).
Long and short of it -- bigger boost than usual for Kerry coming out of Iowa, with the hit being taken from BOTH Dean and Clark. Edwards is getting a small bump, and Lieberman seems to be, too.
So, if this trend keeps going (and it will take a couple days for anyone to reverse the trend), going into the weekend it looks like Kerry winning, second place a tight contest between Dean and Clark (with Dean ahead of Clark now but falling faster) and Edwards and Lieberman each moving up.
It will be interesting to see how they try to reverse the trends and just how nasty that battle for second gets (whoever is in it by next Tuesday).
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I saw a bit of that too and I think its interesting to see Kerry's bump. But I'd fear who he really is, and how he will be presented to the voters by the Republicans WAY more than I'd fear Clark. I think us Rs have it right (at the WH according to the press) when they say Clark is the only one that really concerns them.
My brother pointed out earlier this week that Dean was only tracking at 50% in Illinois in a vote against Bush. In the current environment in Illinois, that is a huge red flag against Dean. So good riddance to his candidacy, though I still like the guy at a more personal level.
Is Edwards in your (or any other non-Republican on the board's) top 3 list of the current Democratic contenders? I get the feeling that several Democrats here will say aye. If so, please remember how we are viewed as a group of lawyers, and then think if any subgroup is more the target of those views than his. At a national level his occupation and past are downright dangerous to your party.
For top 3 in my leanings, I'd go with Clark, Dean and Lieberman. But politically, Lieberman is a non-starter, and Dean needs a few big bumps to regain the momentum.
So, in the interest of having a competitive and dynamic election, and the risk of a vote I can "live" with, I am officially endorsing Clark for the nomination. Where do I send my check?
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