"Recent polls show Bush ahead of Kerry by 9 points (CBS-NYT), 6 points (Gallup) or 3 points (Zogby)."
Which is why I continue to like Kerry to win at 2-1 odds. Unless Zogby goes over 9 points, Kerry is the likely winner. Zogby is the only pollster who got 2000 right and is basing its figures on higher voter turnout than the others (which I agree with) and which favors Democrats. Although Zogby is increasingly hedging its bets and as the race gets closer, it has the Electoral College numbers at 297-241 for Kerry as of 9/20 -
http://online.wsj.com/public/resourc...04-an0920.html . I am not increasing my bet on Kerry, though, until after the debates.
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