Quote:
Originally posted by sgtclub
I was thinking over the next 50 years, not beyond that.
|
It just depends on what the underlying assumptions are when they predict it will peak. And if some airborne disease that kills people off rapidly comes along, all bets are off.
My understanding is that if you base the predictions on improved medical and agricultural technology and improved sanitation and other public health measures in the third world countries, it should keep growing for at least another 100 years.
However, if you also take into account improving the status of women in these countries, which may be happening some, that leads to fewer children. The more power that women have in a society, the fewer children they have because they have other more rewarding options they can pursue and don't have to turn themselves into human incubators.