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Kerry Won
The CBS poll of undecided is calling it for Kerry, 39% to 25% (rest scoring it a draw).
More importantly, they're pointing out that the remaining uncommitted generally give Bush poor approval ratings, but also say they don't know Kerry. That tells me Kerry does better simply by doing well. The flip side is that Bush may have done so badly in debate 1, and in the subsequent fallout, that showing he can be coherent wins him back some ground.
I heard a couple of facts I had questions about on each side, but right now I think Bush is going to do worse on the fact check side - he blew his own quote.
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