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08-03-2004, 04:22 PM
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#1066
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Pop goes the chupacabra
Posts: 18,532
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Atticus Grinch
Do I have to put in graphical form to get your attention?
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Look at the "barely kerry" and "barely bush" states. 97 votes. plenty big swing. statisitically meaningless.
eta: curiously, bush seems to have gotten a bounce from F911
Last edited by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.); 08-03-2004 at 04:24 PM..
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08-03-2004, 04:24 PM
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#1067
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Proud Holder-Post 200,000
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Corner Office
Posts: 86,129
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Atticus Grinch
I post a map showing BC 2004 is going off a cliff, and you respond with this? Bilmore would be ashamed.
Do I have to put in graphical form to get your attention?
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This un's purdier!
Your "map" is centered on the 100 "barely Kerry" votes. The charecterization is of course on one of the most biased webpages around. I'm willing to offer out the same action Ty has if you want.
__________________
I will not suffer a fool- but I do seem to read a lot of their posts
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08-03-2004, 04:24 PM
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#1068
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Flyover land
Posts: 19,042
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.)
Look at the "barely kerry" and "barely bush" states. 97 votes. plenty big swing. statisitically meaningless.
eta: curiously, bush seems to have gotten a bounce from F911
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97, 108 -- who cares?
ETA after f911 was released, bush stayed steady for a while and then went down. Kerry went down.
Are you ill? Or just very distracted? This is unlike you.
RE-ETA that apparently some states briefly seceded after f911 was released, because the lines cease to be mirror images.
Last edited by ltl/fb; 08-03-2004 at 04:38 PM..
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08-03-2004, 04:34 PM
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#1069
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Too Lazy to Google
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 4,460
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.)
eta: curiously, bush seems to have gotten a bounce from F911
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MM gave Castro the film and it aired on Cuban state owned TV. I am sure that won't help Kerry with the Florida vote.
__________________
IRL I'm Charming.
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08-03-2004, 04:43 PM
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#1070
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Wild Rumpus Facilitator
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: In a teeny, tiny, little office
Posts: 14,167
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Ron Reagan Goes for Kerry
__________________
Send in the evil clowns.
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08-03-2004, 04:45 PM
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#1071
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Flyover land
Posts: 19,042
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Ron Reagan Goes for Kerry
Can't you confine your utter and complete idiocy to boards where you do, slowly and painfully, at least read? This is such old news it might have come out before your last bath. Plus someone already posted links to the article, I think. |
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08-03-2004, 04:46 PM
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#1072
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Pop goes the chupacabra
Posts: 18,532
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by ltl/fb
97, 108 -- who cares?
ETA after f911 was released, bush stayed steady for a while and then went down. Kerry went down.
Are you ill? Or just very distracted? This is unlike you.
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too many intervening factors. at that point it was the pretty boy bouncing kerry. but it looks to me like the blue line goes down right across the release date. |
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08-03-2004, 04:49 PM
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#1073
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Flyover land
Posts: 19,042
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.)
too many intervening factors. at that point it was the pretty boy bouncing kerry. but it looks to me like the blue line goes down right across the release date.
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You need glasses. Both red and blue are flat/even for a bit after the release date, which is helpfully marked with a dotted brown line.
I'm still confused by the apparent secession. |
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08-03-2004, 04:50 PM
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#1074
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Hello, Dum-Dum.
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 10,117
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.)
but it looks to me like the blue line goes down right across the release date.
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You assume everyone sees the movie the day it's released? Elsewhere on the site they explain there's always about five days' lag from a news event (which, unlike a movie, has an effect on people's perceptions all at once) and the news release of the pollsters. Plus, the EV tally reflects the website's own tally, which would be a day or so later than the release of the poll result. Bottom line: expect a lag. Such as the convention.
The missing EVs are likely due to straight-up ties, which are white on the map but probably don't go into the total on the graph. |
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08-03-2004, 04:52 PM
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#1075
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Pop goes the chupacabra
Posts: 18,532
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by ltl/fb
You need glasses.
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You need to learn colors. After the short period, which way does the blue line initially go? Is my monitor wacky? |
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08-03-2004, 04:53 PM
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#1076
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Hello, Dum-Dum.
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 10,117
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Hank Chinaski
I'm willing to offer out the same action Ty has if you want.
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No thanks. I have to spread the risk in my sock portfolio, e.g. Gin Rummy couldn't cover the vig on whether the Abu Ghraib story had legs. |
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08-03-2004, 04:55 PM
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#1077
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Too Lazy to Google
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 4,460
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Atticus Grinch
You assume everyone sees the movie the day it's released?
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No, Castro showed it on his TV station on a different day.
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.j...toryID=5861740
__________________
IRL I'm Charming.
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08-03-2004, 04:56 PM
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#1078
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Flyover land
Posts: 19,042
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.)
You need to learn colors. After the short period, which way does the blue line initially go? Is my monitor wacky?
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Both are even for a short period, then Bush stays even, though Kerry loses*, perhaps b/c of ties as posited by Atticus, then Kerry starts gaining steadily and Bush goes in the trash where his beady-eyed ass belongs.
*if you are interpreting this as a bounce for Bush, I guess that is vaguely legitimate but it's really just a sign of indecision, IMHO.
We could compromise and say that Kerry appears to have been hurt initially by the release of F911, which seems odd. |
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08-03-2004, 05:18 PM
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#1079
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World Ruler
Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 12,057
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National Political Party Seeks Candidate for US Senate
Quote:
Originally posted by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.)
eta: curiously, bush seems to have gotten a bounce from F911
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But not nearly as much bounce as some had predicted, considering how vile that America-hating MM is. Obviously the Bush campaign is faltering.
__________________
"More than two decades later, it is hard to imagine the Revolutionary War coming out any other way."
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08-03-2004, 05:22 PM
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#1080
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: All American Burger
Posts: 1,446
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Ron Reagan Goes for Kerry
And? He voted for Nader in 2000 and seems to do little except trade off his name and antagonize his family...
Who really cares what he thinks? |
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