LawTalkers  

Go Back   LawTalkers

» Site Navigation
 > FAQ
» Online Users: 131
0 members and 131 guests
No Members online
Most users ever online was 9,654, 05-18-2025 at 05:16 AM.
View Single Post
Old 10-06-2004, 08:53 PM   #1616
Tyrone Slothrop
Moderasaurus Rex
 
Tyrone Slothrop's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 33,084
Iowa

Quote:
Originally posted by SlaveNoMore
Less, where is Zogby getting his numbers? Because I read this earlier today:

Note that this poll was taken sponsored by a pro-Kerry 527
(1) There are so many state polls floating around that it's very hard to know which ones are worth paying attention to.

(2) According to an article I linked here a few days ago by Guy Molyneux in TAP, the important number to watch is not the spread between Bush and Kerry, but whether Bush is polling at 50% or higher. As a rule, incumbent presidents tend to poll just below or at the last polls, while the challengers pick up an average of 4% from the last poll. So I see the Iowa numbers that you posted here, and am heartened, because Bush is well below 50%. YMMV.
__________________
“It was fortunate that so few men acted according to moral principle, because it was so easy to get principles wrong, and a determined person acting on mistaken principles could really do some damage." - Larissa MacFarquhar
Tyrone Slothrop is offline  
 
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.0.1

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:51 AM.