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Old 03-02-2020, 10:20 AM   #11
sebastian_dangerfield
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Re: Objectively intelligent.

Quote:
Originally Posted by LessinSF View Post
Yeah, its too bad. We need a much higher kill rate to cull the human herd.
Perhaps a 5X increase in deaths of despair? https://www.spiegel.de/international...9-d872c8f164ac

The idea that if this erupts into a crisis it will topple Trump is interesting. Roubini's historical analysis makes sense on the surface. Crises have taken out a few recent first term presidents.

But Trump's unique electoral path suggests he might buck the trend. The impact of the virus will be felt mostly acutely and immediately in coastal cities Trump has already lost. It appears the impact most likely to harm him politically will be from the stock market continuing to tank and economic activity grinding to a halt. The Rust Belt and flyoverland states where Trump collects the greatest number of Electoral College wins will feel the pain later than the coasts, one would presume. (Investors everywhere will feel it at roughly the same time, but I don't think Trump's supporters are heavily in the market.) The question is how much later does Trumpworld feel the economic pain than than the Blue States on the coasts? I doubt it's beyond the first week of November... but perhaps it could be?
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